Thomas C. Schleifer没有糟糕的项目 - 只是承包商和项18luck官网目之间的不良比赛。多年的研究导致我得出结论,可以通过考虑建筑组织在类似工作中的经验来准确衡量与项目选择相关的风险。我正在设计一个方便的系统来进行测量,并打算免费公开该系统。

尽管承包商确定他们会盈利,但为什么这么多的建筑项目无法获18luck官网利?否则,他们首先不会接受项目。18luck官网多年来,我一直在确定和分类不表现的原因,最近扩大了研究,包括项目风险管理,控制和预防。新利luck

与制造业不同,在重复过程中运营改善的情况下,建筑企业通常没有足够的重复项目来从项目中重复来从熟悉和经验中受益。项目风险是特定于项目的,因此必须根据过去的经验评估每个新工作。一个新项目越接近以前项目的平均值,承包商越有可能实现其估计的目标绩效。18luck官网

For example, let’s say a contractor or construction manager has been successfully building relatively straightforward warehouses and strip malls but then attempts its first complex sewage treatment plant. For such a project, there will be vessels and all kinds of processing equipment with which the contractor has little to no individual or institutional experience. The likelihood of successfully pricing and producing the work would be very limited, making the project very risky.

承包商投入项目的团队还将影响风险的衡量标准。经验是由个人工作人员积累的;虽然一家公司可能已经建立了一个带有长跨度屋顶的竞技场,但这种机构体验不会传播

automatically to the individual team members who haven’t worked on stadiums and arenas. However, if an organization has an experienced arena project veteran who is not assigned to the actual project, the company can bring him or her in if there is an emergency, cutting the overall risk.

项目位置是性能成功的重要变量。例如,美国承包商在国外尝试第一个项目时将面临增加的风险,只有在农村和郊区的承包商也将首次涉足大城市的经验。诸如此类的变化带来了劳动生产率,分包商的可用性,定价和法规的差异。

Unusual project features also create risk. Generally, the collective experience of the industry is with “traditional” projects. Most buildings in the U.S. are rectangular, and our roads, highways and tunnels are straight. Unusual and unique project features—such as buildings, windows, roofs, roads, bridges and tunnels that are curved—are outside the experience of most organizations and obviously trigger risk. Gaining the knowledge to build such tricky projects may be a slow, costly process that amplifies risk.

The good news is that important project characteristics can be measured and weighted to produce a numeric scale of risk projections, and all of the data can be updated to measure project performance. To ascertain the likelihood of a successful, profitable completion, I am developing a spreadsheet-based risk-assessment process that reliably relates a company’s experience with similar projects.

很少有项18luck官网目具有内置的固有风险,例如,大规模基础设施项目巴拿马运河的扩展。对于日复一日的建筑合同工作,项目风险仅是相对于组织的经验的衡量标准。如果一家公司发现属于最佳地点的项目,它18luck官网将控制许多可能伤害您的风险。