Total construction starts are down 1% year-to-date, according to Dodge Data & Analytics, in line with what the company predicted as growth in the industry slows.
Dodge Data＆Analytics的首席经济学家Richard Branch说：“在2019年的11个月中，建筑的开始一直在增长九年后退缩。”道奇报道说，直到11月，总的住宅开始量已经下降了4％，单户和多户家庭都下降了。在同一时期的非住宅建设开始也有所下降，尤其是在零售，酒店，教育和医疗体育馆中。
“The stage remains set for a further pullback in 2020 as economy growth eases further,” he says.
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但是，分支确实指出了非住宅领域的一些“明亮斑点”。由于数据中心和大型配送中心，办公室和仓库的建设仍然很强。在非建造方面，道奇报告说，11月份增长了6％，分支机构归因于许多最近开始建设的LNG设施和风电场。
布兰奇说：“今年的风结构一直在接管，但11月是一个繁忙的月份，价值超过40亿美元的项目破裂。”18luck官网风力项目的税收抵免将于2019年底到期，因此18luck官网似乎有急于进行项目，以防其续签。
On the material side, steel and energy are the “biggest movers and shakers,” says Deni Koenhemsi, senior economist at IHS Markit. The company is reporting a 12.8% drop in U.S. oil prices in 2019, followed by an 8.1% fall in 2020. The numbers are far lower than the decreases reported for 2019 and 2020 in the third quarter, at 8.2% and 0.8%, respectively. “We lowered our near-term oil price forecast significantly this quarter,” says Thomas McCartin, economist at IHS Markit. “The International Maritime Organization (IMO) 2020 standards shift for marine bunker fuel is still expected to provide a boost to demand as refineries will need more oil to produce lower sulfur fuels, but the downgraded oil demand outlook indicates that there will be a smaller quarter-to-quarter increase in oil prices in early 2020.”
McCartin adds that while IHS Markit is currently forecasting a price drop, risks exist that could cause prices to spike.
他说：“对沙特阿拉伯石油基础设施的袭击是历史上最大的突然石油供应。”“当前的石油供应盈余周期平衡了市场，但全球备用石油生产能力的持久影响表明，市场无法处理更多的破坏。我们预计这种风险会流连忘返，直到沙特阿拉伯完全恢复了其设施，可能在2020年下半年。”
John Anton, associate director of pricing and purchasing at IHS Markit, expects steel rebar and structural steel prices to decline in 2020, at 8.5% and 6%, respectively. “Prices should have been lower in all of 2019, but stayed stubbornly high,” says Anton. “Fundamentals took over as construction activity waned and buyers cut orders,” he adds, accounting for the downturn in price.
根据IHS Markit的第四季度报告，木材价格预计将在2019年下跌11.2％，略低于第三季度下跌10.4％。木材价格预计将在2020年反弹，增长4.6％。2019新利luck年12月的ENR 20城市木材平均价格比去年的这个时候低5.4％。
