Dodge Data＆Analytics的首席经济学家Richard Branch在“道奇建筑前景2021年 - 第一季度 - 第一季度更新” Weberar上说，在COVID-19大流行中，经济的表现低于流行前的22％。。

“The U.S. will be well on its way to widespread adoption of the vaccine and herd immunity by the mid-point of this year,” Branch said. “The vaccine in conjunction with the stimulus leads to progressively accelerating economic growth as we go through the year.”

分支机构预测，经济将在2021年中期左右返回流行前水平，但警告并非每个部门都会同时恢复。

他说：“建设无疑是需要时间来恢复的行业之一。”“除了Covid之外，[2021年建设]最大的速度颠簸之一是材料成本迅速上升。”18luck.cub道奇报告说，建筑成本比去年同期上涨了5.4％，木材和塑料价格推动18luck.cub了上涨。

尽管一些部门挣扎，但单户建筑仍然是一个亮点。“千禧一代的房屋所有权在大流行期间取得了重大改善。我们认为这将继续加速。除持续的劳动力短缺外，高材料和土地成本还将在218luck.cub020年增长14％之后的单户住房的增长率为5％。

Commercial construction, which includes stores, office, warehouses, hotels and parking garages, will see a 6% increase in overall starts in 2021, after falling 23% in 2020. “If not for warehouse, that decline in 2020 would have been much deeper, and the expected gross in 2021 would be much, much shallower,” said Branch. While the warehouse sector will continue to expand, retail and hotel starts won’t see much growth this year.

In the institutional building sector, Dodge expects transportation and healthcare sectors to see growth in 2021, at 11% and 9%, respectively. Education is expected to drop 2%, which Branch attributed partially to continued remote learning. Due to increased federal funding for infrastructure, non-building starts are predicted to rise 5%, according to Dodge.

总体而言，分支机构预计在2021年的建设开始时将增长4％，这在很大程度上是由于住宅市场的实力，而非建设和商业商业的恢复正轨开始正轨。