道奇建筑网络首席经济学家理查德·布兰奇(Richard Branch)在2月15日的季度建设开始预测中说,在持续的恢复中,大流行将继续为整体经济活动设定课程。

Branch说:“三角洲波浪在秋季重新承受着增长,并在秋季重新散发着通货膨胀,而在过去一个半月到两个月的时间里,Omicron肯定会减少活动。”但是,未来,“我们继续假设,随后的同时感染浪潮将不如前一个对医疗保健系统和经济造成的破坏。”

After a soft 2022 first quarter due to Omicron, Branch expects a sharp rebound in the second quarter, despite ongoing issues with inflation and labor shortages.

Overall, Dodge forecasts a 9% boost in construction starts this year. “I think that we are going to see a much more broad-based growth here in 2022 across the sectors [than in 2021],” said Branch.

Residential sector starts, measured in number of units, are expected to rise 3% after a sharp increase of 14% in both 2020 and 2021. Multi-family construction is set to increase 2% following a 23% boost in 2021. “Multi-family has really just been on a tear over the last six to eight months,” said Branch, with the largest area of growth n mid-size buildings.

在2021年增长13%后,2022年的商业建设预计将上升15%。“从表面上看,商业部门在2021年进行了相当可靠的恢复,”由仓库领域。”

道奇(Dodge)预测,2022年,零售,办公室和酒店预计将分别增长20%,12%和18%。

Warehouse construction continues to be a “Goliath,” says Branch, predicted to rise another 17% this year, with manufacturing up 9%. That sector "is where we’ve seen probably the biggest upgrade to our forecast,” he said. pointing to current supply chain issues as a catalyst for the increase. “Domestic producers are going to want to have more flexibility in terms of sourcing product,” said te economist.

在机构部门,预计将增加11%。经过2021年平面后,教育开始将上升13%,这使该分支机构确信学生不太可能重返远程学习。医疗保健工作也有望以14%的速度增加。