市场经济衰退严重测试了通常乐观的建筑业的信心。四年的挣扎市场造成了巨大的损失。但是,美国经济的缓慢稳定的恢复使该行业中的许多公司都认为最糟糕的是背后的公司,并且有望开始进行广泛的恢复。


在最近的ENR建筑行业信心指数调查中,可以看到该行业乐观的恢复。新利luck2012年第一季度CICI的比例为100,比上一季度的42分16分。(CICI评级为50代表一个稳定的市场。)对调查的大型建筑和设计公司的464名高管认为,市场已经稳定,并且开始显示恢复的迹象。

The CICI measures executive sentiment about the current market as well as projections for where it will be in the next three to six months and over a 12- to 18-month period. The index is based on responses to surveys sent out to more than 3,000 U.S. firms on ENR’s lists of the leading contractors, subcontractors and design firms. The latest results are based on a survey conducted from Feb. 22 to March 12.

The CICI also measures sentiment about the overall U.S. economy as a leading indicator of future trends in construction. In the first quarter, confidence in the U.S. economy rose to a CICI rating of 64, from 49 in the last quarter, showing that respondents in the industry believe the economy is on the right track.

该行业乐观的另一个迹象是,虽然只有19%的受访者表示市场正在继续下降,但有21%的人认为现在的市场正在改善。虽然受访者对近期前景并不热衷,但31%的人认为市场将在三到六个月的时间内提高,而12%的市场认为它将仍然有所下降。

但是,工业对2013年市场的期望可能引起真正的兴奋。只有6%的受访者认为市场将在12到18个月内继续下降,而53%的受访者表示将有所改善。

Private Sector To Lead Recovery

将CICI公式应用于各个市场部门,表明受访者认为私营部门市场将带来回收率。石油市场被认为是最强的,CICI的评级为76,其次是多单元住宅和电力,均为71,医疗保健为69。


The retail market, once the lowest-rated market, rose to a CICI rating of 51, showing some optimism that this sector finally has stabilized, while the commercial office market was rated at 47, up from 39 in the fourth quarter. The only market to fall was the entertainment and theme-park sector, which dropped a point to 41.

CFMA调查:谨慎的乐观